Strategy · all-favorite-byimplied_prob-all

In every sport, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite"
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite"
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 212
Days active: 15
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 23 / 11 / 0
Win rate: 67.7%
ROI: 0.1%
Wilson-LB ROI: -3.1%
Units: +0.28u
Max drawdown: +5.00u
Best 30d: +0.28u
Worst 30d: -5.00u
Longest win streak: 2
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 17,177
Days active: 400
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 2704 / 1102 / 0
Win rate: 71.0%
ROI: 10.4%
Wilson-LB ROI: 7.5%
Units: +1793.15u
Max drawdown: +52.91u
Best 30d: +645.95u
Worst 30d: -43.98u
Longest win streak: 21
Longest loss streak: 8
Range: 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite"
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRockies @ Angels	-162	loss	-1.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRockies @ Angels	-162	pending	0.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	CubsAthletics @ Cubs	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	CubsAthletics @ Cubs	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks	-122	pending	0.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks	-122	pending	0.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	PiratesPirates @ Astros	-105	pending	0.00u
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	PiratesPirates @ Astros	-105	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	YankeesGuardians @ Yankees	-240	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	YankeesGuardians @ Yankees	-240	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRockies @ Angels	-219	loss	-1.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRockies @ Angels	-219	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	BrewersGiants @ Brewers	-207	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	BrewersGiants @ Brewers	-207	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks	-163	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks	-163	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	RaysTigers @ Rays	-157	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	RaysTigers @ Rays	-157	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	Red SoxOrioles @ Red Sox	-142	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPadres @ Phillies	-136	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPadres @ Phillies	-136	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	BravesBlue Jays @ Braves	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	BravesBlue Jays @ Braves	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	White SoxWhite Sox @ Twins	-122	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	White SoxWhite Sox @ Twins	-122	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	NationalsMarlins @ Nationals	-120	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	NationalsMarlins @ Nationals	-120	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RedsRoyals @ Reds	-220	loss	-1.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RedsRoyals @ Reds	-220	loss	-1.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RaysTigers @ Rays	-175	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RaysTigers @ Rays	-175	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	TwinsWhite Sox @ Twins	-168	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	TwinsWhite Sox @ Twins	-168	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	BrewersGiants @ Brewers	-163	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	NationalsMarlins @ Nationals	-148	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-125	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-125	pending	0.00u
2026-05-31	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-31	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	pending	0.00u
2026-05-30	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes	-238	win	+0.42u
2026-05-30	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes	-238	win	+0.42u
2026-05-29	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-29	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	pending	0.00u
2026-05-28	mlb	in ledger	DodgersRockies @ Dodgers	-424	pending	0.00u
2026-05-28	mlb	in ledger	DodgersRockies @ Dodgers	-424	pending	0.00u
2026-05-28	mlb	in ledger	RangersAstros @ Rangers	-167	pending	0.00u
2026-05-28	mlb	in ledger	RangersAstros @ Rangers	-167	pending	0.00u
2026-05-28	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesHurricanes @ Canadiens	-142	pending	0.00u
2026-05-28	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesHurricanes @ Canadiens	-142	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	GuardiansNationals @ Guardians	-193	win	+0.52u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	GuardiansNationals @ Guardians	-193	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPhillies @ Padres	-163	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPhillies @ Padres	-163	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	Blue JaysMarlins @ Blue Jays	-162	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	Blue JaysMarlins @ Blue Jays	-162	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	YankeesYankees @ Royals	-157	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	BrewersCardinals @ Brewers	-155	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	BrewersCardinals @ Brewers	-155	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksDiamondbacks @ Giants	-136	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksDiamondbacks @ Giants	-136	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	MarinersMariners @ Athletics	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	TigersAngels @ Tigers	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	MarinersMariners @ Athletics	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	White SoxTwins @ White Sox	-125	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	White SoxTwins @ White Sox	-125	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	MetsReds @ Mets	-120	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	BravesBraves @ Red Sox	-120	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	MetsReds @ Mets	-120	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	nhl	in ledger	AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	nhl	in ledger	AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	PiratesCubs @ Pirates	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	PiratesCubs @ Pirates	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	RaysRays @ Orioles	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	OriolesRays @ Orioles	-105	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	mlb	in ledger	Red SoxBraves @ Red Sox	-101	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	mlb	in ledger	DodgersRockies @ Dodgers	-325	win	+0.31u
2026-05-26	mlb	in ledger	DodgersRockies @ Dodgers	-325	win	+0.31u
2026-05-26	nba	in ledger	KnicksKnicks @ Cavaliers	-142	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	nba	in ledger	KnicksKnicks @ Cavaliers	-142	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesHurricanes @ Canadiens	-135	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesHurricanes @ Canadiens	-135	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	mlb	in ledger	MarinersMariners @ Athletics	-118	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	mlb	in ledger	MarinersMariners @ Athletics	-118	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	BrewersCardinals @ Brewers	-225	win	+0.44u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	BrewersCardinals @ Brewers	-225	win	+0.44u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	GuardiansNationals @ Guardians	-180	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	GuardiansNationals @ Guardians	-180	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	Blue JaysMarlins @ Blue Jays	-171	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	Blue JaysMarlins @ Blue Jays	-171	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	MetsReds @ Mets	-163	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	MetsReds @ Mets	-163	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	YankeesYankees @ Royals	-157	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	nhl	in ledger	AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights	-148	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	nhl	in ledger	AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights	-148	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	GiantsDiamondbacks @ Giants	-143	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	RaysRays @ Orioles	-137	pending	0.00u

100 most-recent picks shown.